21st Century Opposed Systems Design

Barry Watts expands on his earlier comment over at DoD Buzz about our lack of skill in making clear strategic choices. He defines those as:

insightful strategic choices refer to devising courses of action likely to achieve one’s ultimate goals despite resource constraints, political considerations, bureaucratic resistance, the adversary’s opposing efforts, and the intractable un-certainties as to how a chosen strategy may ultimately work out.
It is a powerhouse article that makes connections to cognitive science and psychology. Apparently he’s working on a longer study about this at CSBA; I can’t wait to see it. We need to think big about how we’re going to tackle this meta-problem (thinking about how to identify the right thinkers).